{
  "study_id": "O0-CRP-017",
  "title": "Synthesis of the Contact and Revelation program after six studies",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "date": "2026-07-27",
  "record_class": "SYNTHESIS",
  "program": "O0-CRP-001 Contact and Revelation",
  "branch": "07_CROSS_STUDY_ANALYSIS",
  "research_status": "current",
  "evidence_type": "cross_study_documentary_review",
  "replication_status": "not_applicable (SYNTHESIS class)",
  "physical_validation": "none",
  "biological_validation": "none",
  "preregistered": false,
  "preregistration_note": "SYNTHESIS records document existing work; they cannot be preregistered without circularity. All primary findings referenced come from preregistered studies (O0-CRP-011..016).",
  "top_line_verdict": "DOCUMENTARY SYNTHESIS — no new empirical claims; all cited findings documented in primary studies",
  "primary_studies_reviewed": [
    {"id": "O0-CRP-011", "branch": "REVELATION",  "verdict": "PRELIMINARY SUPPORT (4/4 endpoints)"},
    {"id": "O0-CRP-012", "branch": "REVELATION",  "verdict": "PRELIMINARY SUPPORT (49.2% of 512-point grid)"},
    {"id": "O0-CRP-013", "branch": "REVELATION",  "verdict": "MECHANISM-FLIPPED (2/4 direction preserved)"},
    {"id": "O0-CRP-014", "branch": "REVELATION",  "verdict": "k-DIRECTION-RESOLVED / PRELIMINARY SUPPORT (3/4)"},
    {"id": "O0-CRP-015", "branch": "TEMPORALITY", "verdict": "PRELIMINARY SUPPORT (all 3 regimes, veil confirmed)"},
    {"id": "O0-CRP-016", "branch": "AUTHORSHIP",  "verdict": "CREDULOUS-OBSERVER at weak priors, RESISTANT at SKEPTICAL"}
  ],
  "program_state": {
    "n_studies_completed": 6,
    "active_branches": ["REVELATION", "TEMPORALITY", "AUTHORSHIP"],
    "empty_branches": ["CONTACT", "PERSPECTIVE"],
    "n_active_branches_of_5": 3,
    "n_program_properties_covered_of_8": 3,
    "covered_properties": ["inferential opacity", "temporal-trajectory access", "authorship attribution"],
    "untested_properties": ["superior accuracy", "personal relevance", "explanatory compression", "recursive self-modeling", "simulator-level access"]
  },
  "cross_study_findings": {
    "convergent": [
      "Prior calibration matters for credulity across TEMPORALITY (v1.0.1 revision) and AUTHORSHIP (SKEPTICAL vs weak-prior asymmetry)",
      "Paired-seed accuracy protocols work reliably across all 6 studies",
      "Zero-variance edge cases are common; verdict logic must handle them (Δmean fallback rule adopted in v1.0.1)",
      "Update-weight design choices ARE scientific hypotheses (SIM-CRP-004 falsified resistance-at-weak-priors for CLAIM_WEIGHT=0.1)"
    ],
    "revelation_arc": {
      "n_studies": 4,
      "architecture_families_tested": ["Bayesian (opacity hedges)", "PP (predictive processing)", "PP-A (PP without direct y_k)"],
      "architecture_invariant_endpoints": ["h_hat", "u_hat"],
      "architecture_specific_endpoints": ["k_hat", "TAI"],
      "localization_result": "k_hat direction flip in R3 was caused exclusively by one observation-model term (direct y_k = log|V(m)| observation), confirmed by R4's single-line ablation. Credit-assignment mechanism is architecture-invariant across all three families."
    },
    "temporality_result": {
      "n_studies": 1,
      "tau_hat_effect_size_by_regime": {"ANCHOR": 9.34, "FLAT": 9.14, "SKEPTICAL": 9.69},
      "opacity_veil": "perfect (Δmean = 0.000 all regimes)",
      "specificity": "no leakage onto h, u, or f",
      "cross_architecture_status": "Bayesian only; PP variant (R3) registered"
    },
    "authorship_result": {
      "n_studies": 1,
      "credulity_delta_by_regime": {"ANCHOR": 0.164, "FLAT": 0.250, "SKEPTICAL": 0.038},
      "credulity_threshold": 0.05,
      "credulous_at": ["ANCHOR", "FLAT"],
      "resistant_at": ["SKEPTICAL"],
      "evidence_dominates_over_claim": true,
      "marginal_claim_when_evidence_present": {"ANCHOR": 0.008, "FLAT": 0.001, "SKEPTICAL": 0.012},
      "cross_architecture_status": "Bayesian only; PP variant (R4) registered"
    }
  },
  "methodological_patterns_identified": [
    "v1.0.1 pre-confirmatory revision pattern (used by O0-CRP-013 and O0-CRP-015): legitimate design revisions before confirmatory data enters verdict",
    "STANDARD-observer null control (used by O0-CRP-015): confirms new registers don't have silent side effects on pre-existing state",
    "Three-way head-to-head architecture comparison (R3 -> R4 chain): localizes mechanism to specific update terms",
    "Zero-variance edge case handling via Δmean fallback rule",
    "Determinism gates + paired-seed accuracy checks as default null-validation battery"
  ],
  "phase_1_status": "MET (6 studies complete, exceeds phase 1 target of 5)",
  "phase_2_status": "IN PROGRESS (need 9 more studies AND coverage of CONTACT + PERSPECTIVE branches)",
  "priority_next_studies": [
    "SIM-CRP-001 (open CONTACT branch)",
    "SIM-CRP-003 (open PERSPECTIVE branch)",
    "O0-CRP-015-R3 (TEMPORALITY under PP)",
    "O0-CRP-016-R2 (AUTHORSHIP weight sensitivity)",
    "O0-CRP-016-R4 (AUTHORSHIP under PP)",
    "O0-CRP-011-R2 (independent reimplementation of Study B)"
  ],
  "adversarial_concessions": [
    "Every finding is a property of one Bayesian observer family (partial: REVELATION has 3-arch data, TEMPORALITY and AUTHORSHIP only Bayesian)",
    "Zero-variance issues suggest simulations may be too toy for real-effect discovery",
    "Effect sizes are absurdly large by real-behavior standards (property of specification, not of nature)",
    "Three of five branches are empty",
    "No independent reimplementation of any study",
    "No physical or biological validation"
  ],
  "philosophical_provenance": {
    "record": "# The O-0 Phenomenon- A Unified Framework.md (local reference)",
    "section": "N/A — SYNTHESIS record reviews computational program",
    "proposition": "Contact with apparent totality produces measurable reorganization of an observer's models of agency, time, selfhood, causation, and knowledge. The form depends on which informational properties are actually present.",
    "relationship": "state-of-program review after 6 studies; identifies which of the program-hypothesized properties have and have not been tested",
    "disclaimer": "Conceptual provenance is not empirical support. This synthesis makes no new empirical claims."
  },
  "files": {
    "record": "scientific_record.md",
    "figures_script": "src/generate_synthesis_figures.py",
    "figures": [
      "figures/01_cross_study_effect_sizes.png",
      "figures/02_program_hypothesis_matrix.png",
      "figures/03_verdict_timeline.png"
    ]
  }
}